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Elon Musk 2018 Vow
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<blockquote data-quote="billt" data-source="post: 3326376" data-attributes="member: 5188"><p>Not really. How much energy do you think can be stored inside a battery that the vehicle itself has to move? You're not going to pull a trailer full of batteries, and the laws of physics apply regardless of how much you improve battery output.</p><p></p><p>Look at internal combustion. We have improved immensely in power and fuel economy in the last 50 years. But that has taken it to the upper end. They will get a bit better economy, and more powerful in the future. But it will come at the expense of enormous complexity not to mention production and repair cost. MDS systems, along with Variable Valve timing, turbochargers, are very expensive to develop, produce, and maintain.</p><p></p><p>And they are very costly to replace when they go south. To the point where people either lease, or else trade in when the warranty is up. They have become too much of a financial risk to own out of warranty. These multi speed transmissions alone can cost upward of $4K+ to replace. After a while they are no longer cost effective in relation to the energy they save or produce.</p><p></p><p>The fact is electric will never replace gas or Diesel for constant long distance use. Look at the energy in a 50 gallon tank of Diesel. It can be refilled in less than 10 minutes, and that energy has been 100% replaced. A battery can never equal that.</p><p></p><p>Bill Gates research it and found that if you took all the batteries on planet Earth at full charge. They would only supply the power requirements of the world for 10 minutes.</p><p></p><p><strong>"All the batteries we make now could store less than 10 minutes of all the energy [in the world]," he said. "So, in fact, we need a big breakthrough here. Something that's going to be of a factor of 100 better than what we have now."</strong></p><p></p><p><a href="https://www.cnn.com/2010/TECH/02/12/bill.gates.clean.energy/index.html" target="_blank">https://www.cnn.com/2010/TECH/02/12/bill.gates.clean.energy/index.html</a></p><p></p><p>Good luck with that. I've never believed in "miracles".</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="billt, post: 3326376, member: 5188"] Not really. How much energy do you think can be stored inside a battery that the vehicle itself has to move? You're not going to pull a trailer full of batteries, and the laws of physics apply regardless of how much you improve battery output. Look at internal combustion. We have improved immensely in power and fuel economy in the last 50 years. But that has taken it to the upper end. They will get a bit better economy, and more powerful in the future. But it will come at the expense of enormous complexity not to mention production and repair cost. MDS systems, along with Variable Valve timing, turbochargers, are very expensive to develop, produce, and maintain. And they are very costly to replace when they go south. To the point where people either lease, or else trade in when the warranty is up. They have become too much of a financial risk to own out of warranty. These multi speed transmissions alone can cost upward of $4K+ to replace. After a while they are no longer cost effective in relation to the energy they save or produce. The fact is electric will never replace gas or Diesel for constant long distance use. Look at the energy in a 50 gallon tank of Diesel. It can be refilled in less than 10 minutes, and that energy has been 100% replaced. A battery can never equal that. Bill Gates research it and found that if you took all the batteries on planet Earth at full charge. They would only supply the power requirements of the world for 10 minutes. [B]"All the batteries we make now could store less than 10 minutes of all the energy [in the world]," he said. "So, in fact, we need a big breakthrough here. Something that's going to be of a factor of 100 better than what we have now."[/B] [URL]https://www.cnn.com/2010/TECH/02/12/bill.gates.clean.energy/index.html[/URL] Good luck with that. I've never believed in "miracles". [/QUOTE]
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