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Message: <blockquote data-quote="mtngunr" data-source="post: 4389916" data-attributes="member: 46104"><p>Anything over three days is a SWAG, but they do have a decent degree of accuracy, and provide an early warning system for generalities, if not exact tracks or details. This system this Thurs/Fri has been showing on the GFS for two weeks, ditto the one just past, and was quite good much of the time in nearly two weeks of showing hurricanes and generally where bound. But, by all means blow it off as just guesswork if it floats your boat...but when a model consistantly shows something run to run for two weeks out, it something to think about.</p></blockquote><p></p>