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The Water Cooler
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Salon, draft Al Gore
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<blockquote data-quote="RickN" data-source="post: 2771044" data-attributes="member: 8854"><p>Actually if you look the economy had not gotten any worse and according to all reports that the government was feeding the low information voters was improving a little, which pretty much matches what I said.</p><p></p><p>"Don't need Rasmussen for this one. If the economy really picks up and Obama does not screw up any worse then he already has, he will be re-elected.</p><p></p><p>If the economy is still bad or takes another dip, it does not matter who the Republicans run, Obama will lose.</p><p></p><p>The incumbent always wins unless the economy is really bad and/or they are seen as a really weak president. In the last several cycles each prez gets 8 years then it switches to the other party unless he makes one of those two fatal mistakes. Then he will only get 4 years before it switches parties.</p><p></p><p>The talking heads can blabber on about ideals, etc, but it always comes down to how the public feels about the economy. If they and their family are doing OK and most of their friends are doing OK, they will vote for who ever is in office. If not, they will vote for the other person."</p><p></p><p>I do not like Obama and was hoping like hell everyone was smart enough not to vote for the fool, but even then I was talking about the 8 year cycle. Carter got booted after 4 because of the Iran hostages and his failed rescue attempt. The GOP got another 4 years with Bush 1 because Reagan was so popular and the economy was doing OK. As it stands the voters are tired of the Dems not fixing anything and will give the GOP a chance. If and when they can not get it done, it will go back to the Dems. Personally I am beginning to believe that for us political junkies the primaries are all that makes a difference. You try to get the best person running as your candidate and hope the masses don't screw it up.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="RickN, post: 2771044, member: 8854"] Actually if you look the economy had not gotten any worse and according to all reports that the government was feeding the low information voters was improving a little, which pretty much matches what I said. "Don't need Rasmussen for this one. If the economy really picks up and Obama does not screw up any worse then he already has, he will be re-elected. If the economy is still bad or takes another dip, it does not matter who the Republicans run, Obama will lose. The incumbent always wins unless the economy is really bad and/or they are seen as a really weak president. In the last several cycles each prez gets 8 years then it switches to the other party unless he makes one of those two fatal mistakes. Then he will only get 4 years before it switches parties. The talking heads can blabber on about ideals, etc, but it always comes down to how the public feels about the economy. If they and their family are doing OK and most of their friends are doing OK, they will vote for who ever is in office. If not, they will vote for the other person." I do not like Obama and was hoping like hell everyone was smart enough not to vote for the fool, but even then I was talking about the 8 year cycle. Carter got booted after 4 because of the Iran hostages and his failed rescue attempt. The GOP got another 4 years with Bush 1 because Reagan was so popular and the economy was doing OK. As it stands the voters are tired of the Dems not fixing anything and will give the GOP a chance. If and when they can not get it done, it will go back to the Dems. Personally I am beginning to believe that for us political junkies the primaries are all that makes a difference. You try to get the best person running as your candidate and hope the masses don't screw it up. [/QUOTE]
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