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Message: <blockquote data-quote="donner" data-source="post: 3380401" data-attributes="member: 277">I think you're right about never knowing 'for sure'. But there are clear trends you can look at with regards to early spikes that subsided once distancing measures were put into place. As well as increases in cases that can be contract traced back to gatherings.My town just reported 162 new cases between four different urgent care clinics. Almost all were college students who had attended greek rush parties in recent months and very few counted against our 'local' numbers because they were legal residents of other places (so the positive test results were counted in their county of residence, even in another state, and not where they were essentially living).</blockquote>