Big Tornado Year?

[Firpo]

So what say ye? Tornado season isn’t far off and having moved here March 1, 2020 I’m still trying to figure out weather patterns. Is there a pattern? Here is our tornado history for reference and looks to me like every 4-6 years the numbers take a good jump.

Monthly/Annual statistics for Tornadoes in Oklahoma (1950-Present)

 

[tynyphil]

Lived here in tornado alley for 71 years now. I am a weather watcher and have yet to see predictable patterns. So the bottom line is ....1. have a plan and a place to hunker down if need be. 2. have a recovery plan ( insurance, etc) 3. Don't wait to the last minute to invoke 1 or 2

 

[XYZ]

No thank you.

 

[Perplexed]

Lived here in tornado alley for 71 years now. I am a weather watcher and have yet to see predictable patterns. So the bottom line is ....1. have a plan and a place to hunker down if need be. 2. have a recovery plan ( insurance, etc) 3. Don't wait to the last minute to invoke 1 or 2

What, no lawn chair and a six-pack of beer?

 

[Johnny]

It’s like trying to predict the fall of an empire or a civil upheaval.

Are there patterns? Yes. Do they produce any meaningful data to help you predict your next interaction with any precision? No.

The one thing that studying the weather history should tell you is that you need to be prepared 24/7 365 for high winds, excessive water fall, and the occasional catastrophic event.

Practice a dry or two and hope you never need to use and of the preps you have made.

 

[Firpo]

I do understand needing to be prepared. There could be only one tornado a given year and if that rolls over my house I’d better be ready. @tynyphil I do have #1 and #2 covered.

 

[Oklahomabassin]

I see a pattern. Usually a few days before the weather folk use their sensationalism and hype faces to forecast the worst severe storms ever with potential for mass casualties unless you tune into their channel.

 

[1Mudman]

So what say ye? Tornado season isn’t far off and having moved here March 1, 2020 I’m still trying to figure out weather patterns. Is there a pattern? Here is our tornado history for reference and looks to me like every 4-6 years the numbers take a good jump.

Monthly/Annual statistics for Tornadoes in Oklahoma (1950-Present)

from now until June they can happen. They get stronger and more frequent until the end of May and the it settles down until the End of August and ramps up through October. We never know how many or where.

 

[KOPBET]

There hasn't been a tornado in Tulsa county greater than F2/EF2 in 30 years. I'm probably not buying a fraidy hole to dive into every time the sirens go off.

 

[Firpo]

There hasn't been a tornado in Tulsa county greater than F2/EF2 in 30 years. I'm probably not buying a fraidy hole to dive into every time the sirens go off.

Same here in Comanche County. There was an F3 in 1979 and then an F4 in ‘57.