Official OSA COVID-19/Corona Virus Thread

[MacFromOK]

Ever heard of sampling size? Granted Oklahoma is probably pretty unhealthy overall, but the more you test, the likelihood that number will go down significantly.

Lol, yeah... it's one of the voodoos that pollsters use.

Granted, a larger sample size will be more accurate, but there's no guarantee the results will go up or down.

By your claim, if TX has tested 5x the people Ok has, yet has 7x the population, then we've tested a larger percentage of our population.

So why isn't OK's testing more accurate?

 

[ignerntbend]

He’ll get back to you.

 

[CHenry]

 

[CHenry]

 

[JD8]

Lol, yeah... it's one of the voodoos that pollsters use.

Granted, a larger sample size will be more accurate, but there's no guarantee the results will go up or down.

By your claim, if TX has tested 5x the people Ok has, yet has 7x the population, then we've tested a larger percentage of our population.

So why isn't OK's testing more accurate?

Let me simplify it. When Covid 19 was just getting started, there were a numbers that were showing 10% mortality rates because of small testing sampling, that number got smaller and smaller. Of the 10 states that have over 100K tests, only 2 have a rate of 5% or near, one being NY. You can either believe me and those numbers or not, don't care. Just relaying that mortality rates seem to be inaccurate due to testing variables and low numbers and the fact that many people are asymptomatic.

 

[MacFromOK]

Alrighty then. Glad you don't care.

The fact that many people are asymptomatic applies to both TX and OK. Testing accuracy should be similar as well.

 

[tRidiot]

It's not just sample size, it's about selection bias.

 

[MacFromOK]

It's not just sample size, it's about selection bias.

Ok... but how does that figure into testing sick people? Don't symptoms determine who gets tested?

 

[JD8]

Ok... but how does that figure into testing sick people? Don't symptoms determine who gets tested?

So the more people you test, the more likely it is that you'll a good number of asymptomatic individuals. Then, the numbers of individuals that had the virus would go up, the mortality rate down. If you are only testing people that are showing clinical symptoms, you will show a higher rate of mortality. Example, when South Korea started doing drive thru testing, their mortality rate numbers went down. The number of people that are asymptomatic have been estimated from 50-80% what I have seen. Granted, that's a huge range and needs to be better identified , but it does show there are a significant amount of people out there that would test positive with no symptoms.

 

[Oklahomabassin]

KXII just gave the current numbers for Texas & Oklahoma:

- 2,069 confirmed cases in Oklahoma.
- 99 total deaths in Oklahoma.

That's a 4.7% death rate in Oklahoma (Texas is only running 2%).

Wake up folks!

https://www.kxii.com/content/news/Latest-COVID-19-numbers-from-Texas-Oklahoma-569411191.html

Has Texas had any nursing homes with infections? That seems to be what raises the number significantly.