OFFICIAL OSA PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION (prediction) POLL / Giveaway

[Zombie]

sadly I bet on Obama...

 

[HMFIC]

6 Bizarre Factors That Predict Every Presidential Election

Read more: 6 Bizarre Factors That Predict Every Presidential Election | Cracked.com http://www.cracked.com/article_2013...very-presidential-election.html#ixzz2B1ySWUjb


http://www.cracked.com/article_20139_6-bizarre-factors-that-predict-every-presidential-election.html?utm_source=facebook&utm_medium=fanpage&utm_campaign=new+article&wa_ibsrc=fanpage



More bad news: Washington Redskins play Carolina Panthers at home this Sunday. Not looking good for Romney.

Interesting article... I heard some other strange facts that favor Romney though too like the every Nov. 6th thing. etc...

 

[radarmonkey]

Obama's gonna win, I will truly be surprised if he doesn't.

 

[HMFIC]

Something has happened that I hadn't considered and may play a HUGE role in the election.

With respect to the Hurricane relief efforts, NBC and a host of entertainers are putting on a one hour telethon tonight to raise money for hurricane victims.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/11/01/hurricane-sandy-benefit-nbc_n_2056117.html

I don't know yet if The President plans to make a live or televised appearance, but I'm pretty confident he won't pass up this opportunity.

In that same vein, it would be interesting if Trump went ahead and donated the unclaimed challenge money that Obama left on the table and gave $5 million to this effort in his own name to support the people in his community.

Also, wouldn't it be interesting if Romney made an appearance and gave a million dollars or something like that? He can certainly afford it and it would also bring attention to the fact that he gives more money to charity than Obama does BY FAR (we're talking personal money, not YOUR money... Obama definitely will be giving LOTS of our money to this effort).

Anyway... it's going to be something that will likely get a lot of viewership across the country. It could be a factor.

 

[HMFIC]

From the beginning of the year to today, the fundamentals suggested the presidential election would be close. The president's job approval, which is a good predictor of his ultimate share of the vote, has stayed in a range of 47% to 50% all year. That, by itself, virtually guarantees a close election. On the Friday before Election Day, the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll showed the race tied at 48% for Obama and 48% for Romney.

Pundits and the campaigns have focused on a relatively small number of swing states all year. Today, the president can reasonably count on 237 Electoral College votes, while Romney can count on 206. Two states won by Obama four years ago are in the Romney column today - Indiana and North Carolina.

Eight states, with a total of 95 Electoral College votes, remain toss-ups and will determine the winner: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, Ohio, Virginia and Wisconsin. All eight of those states were carried by Obama in 2008.

Florida and Virginia are absolute must-win states for the Romney campaign. If the president wins either, the election will be his. It is quite reasonable to think the challenger can win these states but far from a sure thing.

If he can win those two states, Romney will then have to win either Ohio or Wisconsin to stay in the game. It is possible that the president could win both and keep his job, but that outcome is far from certain as well.

Ohio is the bigger prize with 18 Electoral College votes but may be a bit more difficult for Romney to carry. The auto bailout has helped the president in the Buckeye State, and the Obama campaign spent millions of dollars here early in the year defining Romney negatively. Still, Democrats may be a bit concerned that early voting in their Ohio strongholds is down from four years ago.

Wisconsin, with its 10 Electoral Votes, is close enough that both parties' presidential and vice presidential candidates have visited the state in recent days. If Romney can win the Badger State after losing Ohio, he would still need to win Colorado and either Iowa or Nevada to win the election.

Those who don't like uncertainty should focus on the congressional races. It appears that the Democrats are likely to retain control of the Senate and Republicans to keep control of the House.

But the race for the White House remains close because of the economy. Most Americans do not feel better off than they were four years ago, but most are not feeling worse off either.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/pub...redictable_end_to_a_very_predictable_election

 

[white92coupe]

I think Romney will win because people are sick of the lies from the administration, but the massive hoards of freeloaders are sure to show up at the polls keeping it closer than most think.

 

[Lurker66]

From the beginning of the year to today, the fundamentals suggested the presidential election would be close. The president's job approval, which is a good predictor of his ultimate share of the vote, has stayed in a range of 47% to 50% all year. That, by itself, virtually guarantees a close election. On the Friday before Election Day, the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll showed the race tied at 48% for Obama and 48% for Romney.

Pundits and the campaigns have focused on a relatively small number of swing states all year. Today, the president can reasonably count on 237 Electoral College votes, while Romney can count on 206. Two states won by Obama four years ago are in the Romney column today - Indiana and North Carolina.

Eight states, with a total of 95 Electoral College votes, remain toss-ups and will determine the winner: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, Ohio, Virginia and Wisconsin. All eight of those states were carried by Obama in 2008.

Florida and Virginia are absolute must-win states for the Romney campaign. If the president wins either, the election will be his. It is quite reasonable to think the challenger can win these states but far from a sure thing.

If he can win those two states, Romney will then have to win either Ohio or Wisconsin to stay in the game. It is possible that the president could win both and keep his job, but that outcome is far from certain as well.

Ohio is the bigger prize with 18 Electoral College votes but may be a bit more difficult for Romney to carry. The auto bailout has helped the president in the Buckeye State, and the Obama campaign spent millions of dollars here early in the year defining Romney negatively. Still, Democrats may be a bit concerned that early voting in their Ohio strongholds is down from four years ago.

Wisconsin, with its 10 Electoral Votes, is close enough that both parties' presidential and vice presidential candidates have visited the state in recent days. If Romney can win the Badger State after losing Ohio, he would still need to win Colorado and either Iowa or Nevada to win the election.

Those who don't like uncertainty should focus on the congressional races. It appears that the Democrats are likely to retain control of the Senate and Republicans to keep control of the House.

But the race for the White House remains close because of the economy. Most Americans do not feel better off than they were four years ago, but most are not feeling worse off either.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/pub...redictable_end_to_a_very_predictable_election

i agree with this. Romney has a mathmatical chance and a more uncertain path. Obama has a clearer path but his hopes are pinned on voter turnout.

 

[TerryMiller]

One factor that may help Romney take Ohio. It is a coal producing state and Obama is well on record as being at war with the coal industry. Interestingly, but on a lesser scale, Colorado also produces coal. There are a lot of coal workers, even union members that are ticked-off big time.

I also remember that the Teamster's union members were ticked-off as well because Obama stopped the Keystone pipeline. (Not to be really off-topic, but the actions of the New Jersey union members running off those Alabama electrical power workers because they were non-union really paints a bad picture of the union members, especially since that state needs as much help as it can get.)

As far as Oklahoma is concerned, it is a no-brainer. In both 2004 and 2008, Oklahoma was one of only two states for each year where every county went for the Republican presidential candidate. In 2004, it was Oklahoma and Utah and in 2008, it was Oklahoma and Alaska. It will be interesting to see if there will be any other states where all counties/parishes go Republican.

 

[SlammerG_89]

I don't know who will win but the loser will be everyone. I picked Romney just because I think a lot of the cool factor that caused most to vote for Obama the first time is wearing off. That and they are tired of hearing the race card all the damn time.

 

[XPerties]

It will be close but Obama will win.